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Will Your Money Last?
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During retirement you draw on assets which have taken you many years to save, and you tap into programs like Social Security and Medicare to help cover your expenses. Preparing a plan to help avoid the five key risks to your retirement income can help your money last throughout your retirement.
Risk #1 Overspending
Risk #2 Not Planning for a Long Retirement
Risk #3 Market Risk
Risk #4 Inflation
Risk #5 Health Care Expenses
Enjoying Life in Retirement
Let's look at how a hypothetical couple, Robert and Barbara, are managing their retirement income.
Robert retired two years ago, and Barbara just retired this year. They are making plans to travel and spend time with their three grandkids. They started retirement without a plan to manage their spending, assuming Social Security would cover most of their necessary expenses.
Can They Cover Their Expenses?
The couple currently spends about $5400 a month. This includes travel, as well as some extras, like lunches out and a new car.
But now that Barbara has retired, they are actually spending more than when they were working. They are concerned that their retirement savings may not last throughout their retirement.
Risk #1 Overspending
Obviously, the amount you spend has an enormous effect on whether your money will last throughout your retirement. A slightly higher rate of withdrawal can significantly decrease your years of retirement income. As a hypothetical example, a portfolio of $1 million with a 4% annual withdrawal rate could provide 6 years more retirement income than a 5% annual withdrawal rate.
Important Information About this Chart1
Beginning to Plan
As Barbara and Robert thought about making an income plan, they realized that they would have to guess at how many years their plan would need to cover. While they did want to leave money to their children, their first priority was maintaining their income stream throughout their retirement years.
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Risk #2 Not Planning for a Long Retirement
While you cannot know for certain exactly how long you will live, it's possible you may end up spending more years in retirement than the years you spent working.
Investing for a Long Retirement
Robert and Barbara realized they could have another thirty years of retirement ahead of them. Thinking longterm reminded them to be aware of the effects of inflation on their spending power.
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Risk #3 Market Risk
Historically, retirees have taken a conservative approach-investing primarily in bonds and CDs to avoid the volatility of the stock market and to keep cash relatively accessible. However, these "ultra-conservative" strategies can significantly reduce the opportunity for growing your assets during your retirement years, and eliminate the hedge against inflation that diversified stock investments offer. Note that diversification does not ensure a profit or guarantee against loss.
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Risk #4 Inflation
Even a 3% inflation rate can have a large impact on purchasing power. For example, a retiree with roughly $72,000 of living expenses in 2003 would find they need nearly twice as much, over $150,000, to meet expenses 25 years later. Furthermore, some costs, like health care, may rise even faster than the general inflation rate.
Your retirement may span 20 years or more.
Your portfolio should reflect a long-term investment strategy.

Past Performance is no Guarantee of Future Results
Important Information About this Chart2
Protecting Their Health and Their Assets
Robert and Barbara knew they were lucky to be enjoying good health. But ever since a minor fall turned into an extended hospital stay for a close friend, they knew that protection from the rising costs of health care had to be a priority.
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Risk #5 Health Care Expenses
Roughly 50% of Americans now turning 65 will be admitted to a nursing home at some point in their lives with half staying up to six months and 10% staying more than three years. However long the stay, full-service nursing home care is expensive with annual cost estimates ranging from $33,000 to $91,000 depending on location and services.3
A 2002 study4 estimates that a couple retiring today at age 65 without an employer-funded retirement health plan will need current savings of $160,000 to cover their expected health care.
Consider seeking out ways to cover these unpredictable expenses, such as a long-term care policy.
How Fidelity's Retirement Planning Tools Helped
Our hypothetical couple Robert and Barbara turned to Fidelity to help manage their retirement spending. Robert and Barbara sat down together to enter current assets, expected expenses, and anticipated income from pensions and Social Security into Fidelity's Retirement Planning Tools.
At first glance, the results were discouraging. The tool predicted a 9-year shortfall in their retirement income. It also identified a few of the five key risks that could significantly affect their plan in the coming years.
Sample results from the Retirement Planning Tools
Working with the Results
Robert and Barbara became less discouraged when they explored Fidelity's suggested changes. The action plan they received outlined steps they could take to address the shortfall.
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  Next Steps
Contact Fidelity at 1-800-FIDELITY  
Investigate All-in-One Investment Strategies:
Freedom Funds or Asset Allocation Funds
 
Chart
Important Information about the Chart
1 Source: Fidelity Investments, August 2003.
Hypothetical value of assets held in an untaxed portfolio of 50% stocks, 40% bonds, and 10% short-term investments with inflation-adjusted withdrawal rates as specified. Please refer to the Important Legal Information page for important information about the methodology used in this chart and index information. Historical annual data from 1926 through 2002 is from Ibbotson Associates: stocks, bonds, and cash are represented by S&P 500, U.S. Int. Government Bonds, and U.S. 30-day T-Bills. Average 3% inflation rate assumed (historical average from 1926 through March 2003 was 3.06%); actual inflation rates may be more or less.
The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged market capitalization weighted index of common stocks. You may not directly invest in any index.
Investments in equities involve more risk because their value will fluctuate according to their performance.
The bond funds' yield, unit price, and total return change daily and are based on interest rates, market conditions, other economic and political news.
This chart is for illustrative purposes only and is not indicative of any investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Chart
Important Information about the Chart
2 Source: Ibbotson Associates, Inc., 3/1/2002.
These portfolios are meant only to illustrate historical performance and should not be construed as recommendations for your own portfolio. This is a hypothetical portfolio comprised of Stocks: 100%; Aggressive Growth: 85% stocks, 15% bonds, 0% short-term; Growth: 70% stocks, 25% bonds, 5% short-term; Balanced: 50% stocks, 40% bonds, 10% short-term; Conservative: 20% stocks, 50% bonds, 30% short-term; Short-Term: 100% short-term. Small Company Stocks represented by the fifth capitalization quintile of stocks on the NYSE for 1926-1981 and the Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. (DFA) U.S. 9-10 Small Company Portfolio thereafter; Large Company Stocks represented by S&P500®, which is an unmanaged group of securities and is considered to be representative of the stock market in general; Intermediate-Term Government Bonds represented by 5-year U.S. Government Bond; Treasury bills represented by 30-day U.S. Treasury Bill. You cannot invest directly in an index. Stock prices are more volatile than those of other securities. Government bonds and corporate bonds have more moderate short-term price fluctuations than stocks but provide lower potential long-term returns. U.S. Treasury bills maintain a stable value if held to maturity, but returns are only slightly above the inflation rate.
This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. You should choose your investments based on your particular objective and situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
3 Source: Fidelity Employer Services Company, "Retiree Health Costs: Addressing the Growing Gap"
4 Fidelity Employer Services Company, "Retiree Health Costs: Addressing the Growing Gap."
Retirement Income Planner
The tool's illustrations result from running a minimum of 250 hypothetical market simulations. The market return data used to generate the illustration is intended to provide you with a general idea of how asset mixes have performed historically. Our analysis assumes a level of diversity within each asset class consistent with a market index benchmark that may differ from the diversity of your own portfolio.
IMPORTANT: The projections or other information generated by Fidelity’s Retirement Income Planner regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary with each use and over time.
 
 
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Personal Profile:
Barbara, age 62 and Robert, age 65
Income:
Combined income before retirement:$105,000
Desired monthly income after retirement:$5400
Income Sources:
Fidelity IRA and brokerage accounts:$274,000
Non-Fidelity brokerage account$225,000
Pension:$1,000/month
Combined Social Security$2650/month
Expenses:
Essential:$2900
Discretionary:$2500
Insurance:
Couple has Medigap, does not have long-term care insurance.
 
Robert and Barbara used Fidelity's Retirement Planning Tools. This tool helped them understand how their assets would support them during their retirement. It also let them "play" with the results to see what would happen if their situation changed.
 
Source: Annuity 2000 Mortality Table. Figures assume you are in good health.
 
 

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